---
title: "SDM4 in R: Inferences about Means (Chapter 20)"
author: "Nicholas Horton (nhorton@amherst.edu)"
date: "January 2, 2017"
output: 
  pdf_document:
    fig_height: 2.8
    fig_width: 7
  html_document:
    fig_height: 3
    fig_width: 5
  word_document:
    fig_height: 4
    fig_width: 6
---


```{r, include=FALSE}
# Don't delete this chunk if you are using the mosaic package
# This loads the mosaic and dplyr packages
require(mosaic)
options(digits=3)
```

```{r, include=FALSE}
# Some customization.  You can alter or delete as desired (if you know what you are doing).

# This changes the default colors in lattice plots.
trellis.par.set(theme=theme.mosaic())  

# knitr settings to control how R chunks work.
require(knitr)
opts_chunk$set(
  tidy=FALSE,     # display code as typed
  size="small"    # slightly smaller font for code
)
```

## Introduction and background 

This document is intended to help describe how to undertake analyses introduced 
as examples in the Fourth Edition of \emph{Stats: Data and Models} (2014) by De Veaux, Velleman, and Bock.
More information about the book can be found at http://wps.aw.com/aw_deveaux_stats_series.  This
file as well as the associated R Markdown reproducible analysis source file used to create it can be found at http://nhorton.people.amherst.edu/sdm4.

This work leverages initiatives undertaken by Project MOSAIC (http://www.mosaic-web.org), an NSF-funded effort to improve the teaching of statistics, calculus, science and computing in the undergraduate curriculum. In particular, we utilize the `mosaic` package, which was written to simplify the use of R for introductory statistics courses. A short summary of the R needed to teach introductory statistics can be found in the mosaic package vignettes (http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/mosaic).

## Chapter 20: Inferences about Means

### Section 20.1: The Central Limit Theorem

Let's begin by reproducing the figure on the bottom of page 519.

```{r}
mu <- 1309
sd <- 15.7
xpnorm(c(mu-3*sd, mu-2*sd, mu-sd, mu+sd, mu+2*sd, mu+3*sd), mean=mu, sd=sd)
```

### Section 20.2: Gosset's t

Figure 20.1 (page 521) displays a normal curve (dashed green curve) and a t-model with 2 degrees of freedom (solid blue curve).

```{r fig.keep="last"}
plotDist("norm", lty=2, col="green", lwd=2)
plotDist("t", params=2, lty=1, lwd=2, col="blue", add=TRUE)
```

We can reproduce the calculations for the Farmed salmon example (pages 523-524) using summary statistics:

```{r}
n <- 150; ybar <- 0.0913; s = 0.0495
tstar <- qt(0.975, df=n-1); tstar
ybar + c(-tstar, tstar)*s/sqrt(n)
```

or directly:

```{r}
Salmon <- read.csv("http://nhorton.people.amherst.edu/sdm4/data/Farmed_Salmon.csv")
favstats(~ Mirex, data=Salmon)
histogram(~ Mirex, width=0.01, center=0.01/2, data=Salmon)
t.test(~ Mirex, data=Salmon)
```

We note that the distribution of measurements is not particularly normal.

#### Section 20.4: A hypothesis test for the mean

We can carry out the one-sided test outlined on page 530:

```{r}
tval <- (.0913-0.08)/0.0040; tval
1-xpt(tval, df=149)
```